Overlook old wives’ tales, home-spun wisdom as well as the tips of cabbies, says Tony Paley. In the event you truly need to know how to punt on horses, you should engrave these 36 Commandments on tablets of stone and carry them with you wherever you go. Not actually, needless to say – that will be impractical.
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Rules. Mavericks and misfits may well not prefer to admit it, but it’s especially true in gambling that some strong guidelines are a major help in formulating a strategy to beat the bookies.
There is no brief cut to generating cash backing horses. The bookmakers perform full-time at receiving income from punters, so backers should not count on to possess to complete anything different.
Victor Chandler, for example, not merely features a form specialist but a speed ratings buff, a breeding analyst as well as a man whose job it is to collate inside info.
Punters need to take their betting just as seriously, but if they take the following 37 Commandments on board, they’re going to give themselves a considerably far better likelihood of obtaining in front and staying there.
RULE 1
The initial query to ask if you want a bet is: ‘How will this race be run?’ And the second: ‘Will it suit the horse I’m considering backing?’
RULE 2
Watch as several horse races as you possibly can. Even if the over-excitable Mark Johnson or the almost terminally bored Graham Goode is commentating.
RULE 3
Look at every horse inside the race, not only the 1 you’ve backed.
RULE 4
Concentrate practically without having exception on the better class of animals inside the higher-grade races.
RULE five
Cram as a lot kind study in as time will allow.
RULE 6
When you find a horse ‘coming towards the boil’ and running into type, back on a winnable rating, stick with it. It is going to practically surely spend its way in time.
RULE 7
The going as well as the draw will be the two most important variables in figuring out the outcome of any horse race.
RULE 8
If you will find doubts about the going, draw bias, the cost or any other very important variable, wait till the really last minute till possessing a bet.
RULE 9
Preserve your pockets sewn up when the ground is officially heavy.
RULE ten
The influence of weight is vastly overrated. Within the majority of instances, horses is not going to reverse the form, no matter how favorably off they’re with regards to the weights.
RULE 11
Only forgive a horse an ‘unlucky-in-running’ run after. The vast majority who repeat the offence will repeatedly find trouble.
RULE 12
Adhere to horses that travel effectively in races and/or have demonstrated a turn of foot in a genuinely run race.
RULE 13
The Ei Ei Memorial Rule. Favor horses with a willingness to win.
RULE 14
Never ever ever back a horse in a main handicap very first time out, unless it’s educated by Sir Mark Prescott.
RULE 15
Appear, look and appear once more at the stats history on the massive races, but use them intelligently. Buffoons on tv telling us that no horse above draw 9 can win the Magnet Cup should keep in mind that this really is only true when the ground isn’t around the soft side of great. That’s a reality.
RULE 16
Be wary of each-way betting. Within the long run, you’re almost undoubtedly going to win far more having all-win bets of 50 than 25 each-way. And, anyway, if you are dithering about dabbling each-way because you’re unsure if your horse will win, why are you currently obtaining a bet?
RULE 17
It’s the Cheltenham Festival, Royal Ascot, the Derby, the Grand National. You do not have to bet.
RULE 18
Concentrate at specialist courses like Brighton or Goodwood on horses which have demonstrated an capability to perform at those tracks, or have a lot in hand their relative inability to do so will not matter.
RULE 19
Study courses till you are able to study them no longer. Take on board the fact that Ascot’s quick straight calls for distinct qualities within a horse than York or Newbury’s galloping terrains.
RULE 20
Seven furlongs is actually a specialist distance. Finish of story.
RULE 21
In sprints, concentrate solely on horses in kind.
RULE 22
Reduce out and maintain the entries for huge races. They are stuffed with clues about what trainers anticipate and, even more crucially, know about the horses in their charge.
RULE 23
Similarly, study and keep all the steady interviews with trainers. They’re going to usually give information about going and distance preferences for their horses.
RULE 24
Do not pay more than the odds for suggestions. There is enough good quality data around for the price of a newspaper. Graham Wheldon’s Sprintline column (Racing & Football Outlook), Andrew Barr’s Mark Your Card feature (Racing Post Weekender), The Guardian’s inside info Horse Sense column on Saturdays and Malcolm Heyhoe’s internet tipping service (gg.com) are all extremely recommended.
RULE 25
The number of race meetings is set to continue growing at an alarming rate. Have an area it is possible to specialise in, whether it be Group races, sprints or middle-distance handicaps.
RULE 26
Think like a bookmaker. Compile your own betting forecast, but above all, be honest with yourself. Ask yourself should you would really offer those odds in case you were a layer.
RULE 27
The following books are a must for any serious punter’s library: Nick Mordin, Betting For A Living; Alan Potts, Against The Crowd; Mark Coton, Value Betting. The best volume to start with is the Racing Post’s Definitive Guide To Betting On Horses.
RULE 28
Open up accounts with as many bookmakers as you are able to, in order to take advantage from the best prices available.
RULE 29
Get access to the net and use the free Racing Post type at racingpost.co.uk. The races are laid out within a line-byline format, which is a lot easier to use and far far more useful than the form within the newspaper version.
RULE 30
Subscribe to a form book. The official Raceform version, Timeform’s Perspectives and Superform are all much more than adequate. Stick with the a single that suits you.
RULE 31
Put a bank together that you happen to be comfortable with, and have a staking plan sorted out that suits your particular style of betting.
RULE 32
If you are in the track, never go for a drink before the race, watch the horses going down for the start. You’ll learn an awful lot about what sort of horses are suited to various types of ground and what plus and minus points to look for within a horse just prior to operating.
RULE 33
Do not believe all of the recent press about ignoring the effect in the draw. Stalls positions are typically crucial for the outcome of a race, specially in the massive handicaps. This can be even true in the long-distance races like the Tote Ebor at York, the Cesarewitch at Newmarket and the Ascot Stakes at Royal Ascot. You’ll find Graham Wheldon’s detailed analysis of draw biases in the Racing Post Definitive Guide book (see the 27th Commandment) or in the front in the official Kind Book.
RULE 34
Big-name jockeys invariably win huge races. Be wary of backing runners in the key races with lesser-known or inexperienced riders on board.
RULE 35
Have your biggest bets in a period, normally between June and September, when the ground remains fairly constant.
RULE 36
Never ever underestimate the psychology and emotion involved in gambling. If your mood swings are extreme, you’ll locate it difficult to survive the inevitable losing runs.
In order to make money horse racing you have to check out these horse racing tips. Also come up with a good system to sports betting .
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